Untangling skill and luck in business, sports, and investing
The Succe$$ Equation

Other Content

Videos

Clips related to the book's content.

Why Underdogs Do Better in Hockey than Basketball

Vox puts the book's luck–skill continuum on screen: why some sports let the better team win, and others let the underdog hang around.

Talks at Google

Michael Mauboussin walks through the ideas at the heart of the book: where activities sit on the luck–skill continuum, and what that means for how we judge results.

Knowledge at Wharton

A conversation on untangling skill and luck in business: why streaks, slumps, and reversion to the mean fool even careful decision makers.

Heider–Simmel Demonstration

The classic 1944 animation. Watch how irresistibly your mind builds a story from moving triangles. We narrate first, and check the numbers later, which is exactly how luck gets mistaken for skill.